Mind and Relationships

Reasoning and Decisions

Tools for sound judgment, spotting weak arguments and choosing well.

Changing Your Mind Gracefully

Why updating a view when evidence shifts is a strength, and practical ways to revise your opinions without defensiveness, shame or whiplash.

5 min read

Confirmation Bias in Everyday Life

Learn how favoring information that fits what you already believe shapes news, relationships, work and study, and what simple habits can reduce its pull.

4 min read

Correlation and Causation Explained

Why two things rising and falling together do not prove one causes the other, with everyday examples of confounders, reverse causation and coincidence.

4 min read

First Principles Thinking for Beginners

A beginner's explanation of reasoning from first principles: break a problem into basic assumptions, test each one, and rebuild a solution without copying convention.

4 min read

How to Evaluate a Source

A set of practical questions about authorship, evidence, purpose, date and corroboration to judge whether a source deserves your trust, online or in print.

4 min read

Logical Fallacies Every Reader Should Know

A plain list of common faulty arguments, including ad hominem, straw man, false dilemma and slippery slope, with simple examples and tips for responding fairly.

4 min read

Thinking in Probabilities

Learn to think in likelihoods instead of certainties, with hypothetical numbers on base rates, expected value and updating beliefs as new evidence arrives.

4 min read

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