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A Plain Guide to Making Better Decisions
A practical overview of structured ways to weigh options: clarifying the choice, listing criteria, comparing trade-offs, and reviewing outcomes without hindsight.
Mind and Relationships
Tools for sound judgment, spotting weak arguments and choosing well.
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A practical overview of structured ways to weigh options: clarifying the choice, listing criteria, comparing trade-offs, and reviewing outcomes without hindsight.
Why updating a view when evidence shifts is a strength, and practical ways to revise your opinions without defensiveness, shame or whiplash.
An introduction to familiar thinking traps such as anchoring, availability and sunk cost, with everyday examples and simple habits for catching them.
Learn how favoring information that fits what you already believe shapes news, relationships, work and study, and what simple habits can reduce its pull.
Why two things rising and falling together do not prove one causes the other, with everyday examples of confounders, reverse causation and coincidence.
A beginner's explanation of reasoning from first principles: break a problem into basic assumptions, test each one, and rebuild a solution without copying convention.
A set of practical questions about authorship, evidence, purpose, date and corroboration to judge whether a source deserves your trust, online or in print.
A plain list of common faulty arguments, including ad hominem, straw man, false dilemma and slippery slope, with simple examples and tips for responding fairly.
Learn to think in likelihoods instead of certainties, with hypothetical numbers on base rates, expected value and updating beliefs as new evidence arrives.
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